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For over ten years NCCOS has developed and improved hypoxia (dead zone) forecasts similar to seasonal weather forecasts. The accuracy of these forecasts is proving to be quite good. Professor Don Scavia of the University of Michigan tracks the accuracy of the NCCOS-funded annual forecasts and finds the models work well in years without hurricanes or tropical storms, which disrupt dead zones prior to taking measurements. This model accuracy increases confidence when researchers use them for providing advice on nutrient load reductions, a major factor driving these model predictions. [Source: National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science]
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