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Ocean model simulation research has shown that that waters polluted by the sinking Sanchi oil tanker could reach Japan within a month. The new simulation also shows that although pollution is most likely to reach the Japanese coast, it is also likely to affect Jeju Island, with a population of 600,000. However, the fate of the leaking oil is highly uncertain, as it may burn, evaporate, or mix into the surface ocean and contaminate the environment for an extended duration. [Source: University of Southampton]
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